Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.200665 0.233439 0.269948 0.313651 0.364572 0.422066 0.491965
2025-02-16 0.148870 0.192178 0.245702 0.316804 0.408939 0.524531 0.680949
2025-02-23 0.119631 0.165850 0.227192 0.314740 0.436830 0.601598 0.841803
2025-03-02 0.097771 0.143598 0.208033 0.305515 0.449830 0.656533 0.976804
2025-03-09 0.086578 0.133694 0.203351 0.314219 0.487140 0.748037 1.174446
2025-03-16 0.076028 0.122749 0.194971 0.315240 0.511757 0.822359 1.354866
2025-03-23 0.068562 0.115284 0.190507 0.321066 0.543680 0.910848 1.568604
2025-03-30 0.060186 0.105034 0.179981 0.315094 0.554669 0.965603 1.732176
2025-04-06 0.053708 0.097043 0.172030 0.312106 0.569760 1.028263 1.916751
2025-04-13 0.048780 0.091075 0.166709 0.312821 0.591075 1.103792 2.133872
2025-04-20 0.046358 0.089320 0.168615 0.326831 0.638384 1.232070 2.467154
2025-04-27 0.043843 0.087037 0.169191 0.338234 0.681879 1.358031 2.812305
2025-05-04 0.041069 0.083999 0.168134 0.346659 0.721331 1.482557 3.175408
2025-05-11 0.037978 0.079951 0.164631 0.349749 0.750455 1.590326 3.519726
2025-05-18 0.034723 0.075136 0.158953 0.347472 0.767769 1.675322 3.826044
2025-05-25 0.031142 0.069171 0.150146 0.337271 0.766365 1.719599 4.046660
2025-06-01 0.029610 0.067497 0.150306 0.346897 0.810512 1.870005 4.534283
2025-06-08 0.027558 0.064395 0.146942 0.348026 0.835116 1.978827 4.937753
2025-06-15 0.026085 0.062443 0.145925 0.354468 0.873046 2.123407 5.449561
2025-06-22 0.023879 0.058487 0.139807 0.347864 0.878286 2.189870 5.772615
2025-06-29 0.022096 0.055347 0.135261 0.344559 0.891322 2.277144 6.162425
2025-07-06 0.020716 0.053042 0.132476 0.345350 0.914956 2.394209 6.649044
2025-07-13 0.020240 0.052979 0.135238 0.360845 0.979273 2.625155 7.483208